All chances have been killed by time. What are the chances of dying early: a simple test

Health indicators

What health indicators do you think are important to consider when it comes to the myocardium? We can answer that in such cases the following numbers are important:

  • blood pressure;

According to the researchers, there is another number that is equally important in assessing the risk of heart disease: the so-called fitness level.

Thanks to a new study by scientists, it is easy to make a simple prediction about the risk of premature death due to the development of cardiovascular diseases. By the way, the number of diseases associated with unhealthy lifestyles is growing all over the world.

Fitness level

Fitness level is an easy, inexpensive way to learn more about your health and helps doctors identify high-risk people who may face heart disease in the future. Carl Levy, a certified physician and professor at the John Ochsner Heart and Vascular Institute, talks about this.

Other well-known indicators that relate to health status cannot always determine the risk of, for example, myocardial infarction. Although you still need to realize that a lack of physical activity is definitely a provoking factor in this case.

Typically, if patients want to assess their health, this requires expensive and time-consuming examinations. True, at the same time, Dr. Levy and his colleagues argue that it is much easier to make calculations based on such simple indicators as:

  • age;
  • waist circumference;
  • pulse at rest.

Study authors Javed Newman, PhD, and Bjarne Nes, PhD, both scientists at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology, said such a simple test, which shows fitness level, is beneficial. Now there is no need to create complex algorithms that were previously traditionally used to calculate all the risks of premature death.

The study results were published in the medical journal Mayo Clinic Proceedings. 38 thousand 480 men and women took part in the scientific survey. Their health status was monitored for 16 years. After time, 3 thousand 863 people died (of which 1,133 study participants died from cardiovascular diseases).

Chances of dying early

Scientists divided respondents into groups, taking into account their assessment of their health. Doctors found that those who exercised the least had a 50% increased risk of dying early from a heart attack compared to those who found time to exercise.

In fact, gradually increasing exercise among men reduced the likelihood of premature death due to heart disease by 18%, and by 15% among women. Study participants who did not exercise at all died from various causes.

Scientists also drew attention to the following well-known factors that could lead to the risk of premature death:

  • high blood pressure (hypertension);
  • elevated cholesterol levels.

It turned out that these factors did not affect the accuracy of statistical predictions compared to data based only on fitness level.

Doctors published a video in the electronic version of a medical journal. Newman explained that high blood pressure and high cholesterol often indicate a lack of exercise. Thus, scientists trace a clear connection between low levels of physical activity and a high risk of premature death. This finding “shows how much of an impact exercise has on preventing cardiovascular disease,” Newman says.

How can you determine your fitness level? It's very simple. Scientists have created a free service on the website worldfitnesslevel.org, and you can also find the Google Play and Apple Store applications for smartphones. With the help of simple calculations, you can assess your level of physical fitness and compare the data with the indicators of other people of the same age and gender.

Risk factors for heart attack and premature death

Researchers emphasize that fitness level, along with other risk factors, plays an important role in determining the risks of facing. In particular, the risk factors are as follows:

  • smoking habit;
  • alcohol consumption;
  • presence of serious diseases.

Pamela Peak, RD, a spokeswoman for the American College of Sports Medicine and author of Fit to Live, agrees that it doesn't make sense to go through a lot of tests to make a prognosis and estimate the chances of heart attack and death at a young age. In this case, it is important to know your level of physical fitness.

Calculate, what type of transport is the safest, not so simple. To build a beautiful and visual graph, at least two indicators are required - the number of dead or injured, as well as the number of people who use this type of transport. For air, rail and water transport, this data is not difficult to find, because thanks to tickets, every person is taken into account. But there are problems with automobile transport. It is not possible to track the movements of the average Russian from work, to work and to the store - no one registers at the doorstep of their home.

Our transport safety rating according to statistics for 2018 was compiled using various sources - from data from the National Union of Insurers, which keeps statistics of registered insurance cases from 2012 to the present, to data on transport accidents on the Rosstat website.


> 200 deaths per 1.6 billion km

Although the number of accidents involving motorcyclists has decreased by more than 70% since 2005, the motorcycle remains one of the most dangerous forms of transport. According to statistics, it turns out that every 1.6 billion km of travel is paid for with the lives of more than two hundred drivers and their passengers.

A motorcycle, like another two-wheeled vehicle - a bicycle - is characterized by increased vulnerability, so accidents involving motorcyclists are highly likely to end sadly. The reason is non-compliance with traffic rules, and, surprisingly, the fundamental refusal of some drivers to use a helmet.


5.75 people per 1.6 billion km

Personal cars are in second place in terms of the number of road accidents. In just 1.6 billion km of travel, at least 5.75 people die.

The reasons include the reluctance of drivers to comply with traffic rules, the condition of the road surface, the increased wear and tear of the vehicle fleet due to the crisis and the deterioration of the purchasing power of the population. And also (due to the increase in the average age of life) and the aging of drivers. All these factors together serve as a guarantee that road transport in Russia will not be safe for a long time.


9.4 deaths per 1 million passengers

Among air transport, the greatest danger to human life is not international transportation, but intercity transportation. Especially if a person in a helicopter is forced to go to those lands where even the notorious Makar prefers not to send his calves. Perhaps this is what explains such a high number of casualties among helicopter passengers. For every 1 million people, at least 9.4 are injured. You will have to fall from a great height, and, with a high degree of probability, the injuries will be incompatible with life.


5 deaths per 1.5 billion km

Minibus taxis cannot be called the safest type of transport in Russia. According to statistics, every 1.5 billion km of route traveled by a minibus is paid for by five human lives. Among the reasons can be cited both the work of drivers for wear and tear, and design flaws of minibuses, the condition of the roads, unwillingness to comply with traffic rules and drunk driving.


2.84 victims per 1 million transported

In 2018, there were several major accidents involving intercity buses, including a tragic incident in the Voronezh region, when two buses collided, five people died and 17 were injured. In general, according to statistics, intercity and international buses are not safe - for every million passengers transported there are accidents At least 2.84 are injured or killed. In total, in 2018, travel on intercity buses caused the death of more than 600 passengers, and more than 13 thousand people were injured.


2.3 accidents per 1 million passengers

This category includes both international ships and domestic river carriers. In total, in 2018, 62 incidents occurred during sea and river travel, which ended tragically for five people. In general, according to NSS statistics, for every million passengers transported, there are 2.3 accidents.

Passengers on sea and river vessels are threatened not only by the elements of water, but also by fire. One of the common causes of transport accidents is a sudden fire on board a ship, usually caused by faulty electrical wiring. This is not surprising, given that Russia's domestic fleet is in a deplorable state, and almost a third of the ships have celebrated 40 years of service.


Chance of dying: 1:11,000,000

The safest transport in the world, however, in Russia it is not possible to obtain accurate statistics on the number of accidents per number of passengers. Data from the National Society of Insurers, which we relied on when assessing the danger of other modes of transport, are not available for them. The reason is the peculiarities of the insurance system in Russia; Most air transport companies transport their passengers not only within the country, but also abroad. Therefore, they use international insurance policies.

This is why an airplane is the safest mode of transport: according to statistics, The chances of dying in an accident on board an airplane are 1 in 11 million. For comparison, the chances of being struck by lightning while walking in a thunderstorm are 16 times higher!


0.17 accidents per 1 million passengers

This category includes both intercity and international trains, as well as regular commuter trains. In general, for 2018 the statistics for Russian Railways look excellent - for almost the entire year, from January to November, only seven incidents were recorded. Unfortunately, there were some deaths - one person died. In general, there are no more than 0.17 accidents per 1 million passengers.

More and more people prefer to use one of the safest modes of transport, and this cannot be explained by price alone. Indeed, for some destinations the cost of plane and train tickets is almost equal. According to the Russian Railways website, in 2018, long-distance trains carried almost 8% more passengers than last year. And the increase in the number of passengers on electric trains amounted to almost 3%.


0.09 cases per million transported

The trolleybus is in second place in terms of safety among modes of transport in Russia. According to NSS statistics, for every million passengers transported there are only 0.09 accidents. Most of them are banal “stumbled and fell.”

The reasons for the low trauma rate of a trolleybus are very simple - its volume and weight, as well as its low speed. In a collision, for example, with a passenger car, the car will suffer much worse. And the trolleybus passengers will get away with minor bruises.

From plane crashes to lightning, here are the 25 things that, according to statistics, most often kill people:

25. Fireworks

In the United States, approximately 10,000 people go to the emergency room for fireworks-related injuries. Chance of dying from fireworks: 1 in 615,448.

24. Tsunami


Naturally, the risk of dying from a tsunami greatly depends on where you live, but from a statistical point of view, the chance is 1 in 500,000.

23. Asteroid Impact


In the past, it was believed that the chance of death from an asteroid collision was about 1 in 20,000. Now, thanks to the development of science, we have learned that the chance is actually 1 in 500,000. Although even this probability is quite high.

22. Dog attack


The chance of being torn apart by man's best friend is 1 in 147,717.

21. Earthquake


Again, living in an area with high tectonic activity will significantly increase your risk. However, overall, the chance of dying from an earthquake is 1 in 131,890.

20. Poisonous bite


At a 1 in 100,000 chance, the risk of dying from a bee sting is twice the chance of dying from a dog sting.

19. Lightning


Every year around the world, about a quarter of a million people are struck by lightning. The odds of death from such an event are 1 in 83,930.

18. Tornado


Living in the US or India increases the chance of death, but overall it is about 1 in 60,000.

17. Death penalty


Yes, if you do not kill or commit high treason, the chance of death under such circumstances will greatly decrease, especially if you do not live in China, North Korea, Yemen, Iran or the USA, then you will not face the death penalty. Still, the chance is 1 in 58,618.

16. Flood


Floods, being one of the most common and dangerous natural disasters, claim more lives annually than any other disaster on this list. Chance of death: 1 in 30,000.

15. Plane crash


Flying on airplanes is much (as you will note later, hundreds of times) safer than traveling in a car. The chance of death is 1 in 20,000.

14. Death by drowning


According to the World Health Organization, drowning is the third most common accidental death. Thus, hundreds of thousands of people die every year. Chance: 1 in 8,942.

13. Electric shock


When lightning deaths and capital punishments are included, electrocution causes about 1,000 deaths per year in the United States. Of these deaths, the most common are those related to work safety. Chance of death: 1 in 5,000.

12. Bicycle


Typically, when someone dies while riding a bicycle, the death is caused by a motorist. The chance is 1 in 4,717.

11. Forces of nature


This item includes lightning, tornadoes, floods, tsunamis, earthquakes and any other natural disasters. Curious to know what is the chance that you will die as a result of Mother Nature's wrath? 1 to 3,357.

10. Fire or smoke


Approximately 50 to 80 percent of fire-related deaths are due to smoke inhalation rather than burns, but overall, fires claim thousands of lives each year in the United States alone. Chance of dying: 1 in 1,116.

9. Death from a gunshot wound


Living in the United States, Guatemala, Brazil or South Africa increases the chances of death in such circumstances, but overall the chance is 1 in 325.

8. Fall


If this seems harmless to you, you must be young. It is the leading cause of death among the world's elderly population. Chance: 1 in 246.

7. Intentionally harming yourself


Every 40 seconds, someone in the world commits suicide and every year about 1 million people die from it. Chance: 1 in 121.

6. Car accident


It's the most dangerous thing we do on a regular basis, and car accidents kill nearly 50,000 Americans every year. Chance of dying: 1 in 100.

5. Accidental injury


This collective category is responsible for approximately 30 million emergency room visits each year, and approximately 100,000 people die as a result of such circumstances each year. Chance: 1 in 36.

4. Stroke


For people living in developed countries, one of the four remaining points is what will ultimately kill them. The chance of dying from a stroke is 1 in 23.

3. Cancer


If a person lives long enough, cancer becomes almost as inevitable as death and taxes. Chance: 1 in 7.

2. Heart disease


Many experts believe that heart disease is the leading cause of death in the world. Chance of dying: 1 in 5.

1. Hayflick limit


Even if we assume that a person will not get sick and will not die a violent death, as it turns out, our cells can divide a limited number of times, after which they will disintegrate in any case. This amount is known as the Hayflick limit. Although modern research in genetics can extend this process, some estimates suggest that the current maximum human lifespan is 125 years.

Life is an unpredictable thing. Deadly dangers can lurk at every step, from a plane crash to lightning strikes. What are the chances of dying from one disaster or another?

Life is an unpredictable thing. Deadly dangers can lurk at every step, from a plane crash to lightning strikes. What are the chances of dying from one disaster or another?

We bring to your attention the top 25 reasons that, according to statistics, can lead to death:

25. Fireworks

For example, in the United States, about 10,000 people are hospitalized every year with injuries and burns due to careless use of fireworks. The chance of dying for this reason: 1 in 615,488.

24. Tsunami

The likelihood of dying from a tsunami depends on where you live, but statistically speaking, the chances are 1 in 500,000.

23. Asteroid impact

In the past, the chance of death from an asteroid was equal to 1 in 20,000. Now, thanks to the development of science, the probability of dying from an asteroid is 1 in 500,000. Scientists believe that even this probability is 4 times higher than the probability of death from a lightning strike.

22. Dog attack

The chance of being bitten to death by man's best friend is 1 in 147,717.

21. Earthquake

Again, it all depends on the location of the person. In an area with high tectonic activity, the chance of death from an earthquake is 1 in 131,890.

20. Bite of a poisonous animal/insect

According to statistics, the risk of death from a bee sting is 2 times higher than the risk of death from a dog bite and is 1 in 100,000.

19. Lightning strike

Every year around the world, about a quarter of a million people are struck by lightning. Chance of death: 1 in 83,930.

18. Tornado

Living in the USA or India, of course, increases the risk of death from this natural disaster and is approximately 1 in 60,000.

17. Death penalty

The risk of being subject to the death penalty depends on the nature of the crime committed and where you live. But overall the chance is 1 in 58,618.

16. Flood

One of the most common and dangerous natural disasters, it claims more lives each year than any other natural disaster on this list. Chance of death: 1 in 30,000.

15. Plane crash

Flying by plane is considered safer than traveling by car. Chance of death: 1 in 20,000.

14. Drowning

According to the World Health Organization, drowning is the third leading cause of unintentional death, claiming hundreds of thousands of lives each year. Chance of death: 1 in 8,942.

13. Electric shock

Including lightning deaths and capital punishment, electrocution occurs approximately 1,000 times a year in the United States, and most accidents occur in the workplace. Chance of death: 1 in 5,000.

12. Bicycle accident

Most often, death in such an accident occurs as a result of a collision with a car. Chance of death: 1 in 4,717.

11. Natural disasters

This includes lightning, tornadoes, floods, earthquakes and other natural disasters. The chance of dying due to the wrath of Mother Nature is 1 in 3,357.

10. Fire

About 50-80% of fire deaths are most often due to smoke inhalation rather than burns, but overall it claims thousands of lives each year in the United States. Chance of death: 1 in 1,116.

9. Gunshot wound

Of course, the risk of being shot can occur in any country, but the risk increases in the United States, Guatemala, Brazil and South Africa. Chance of death: 1 in 325.

8. Fall

Most often, it is the cause of death among children and the elderly. Chance: 1 in 246.

7. Suicide

Every 40 seconds, one suicide occurs in the world, and every year approximately 1 million people deliberately take their own lives. Chance of death: 1 in 121.

6. Car accident

Car accidents are the most common cause of death. They kill about 50,000 Americans every year. Chance of death: 1 in 100.

5. Accidental injury

For this reason, about 30 million calls to emergency care occur, and approximately 100,000 people die as a result of such circumstances per year. Chance of death: 1 in 36.

4. Stroke

For residents of developed countries, this is one of the most pressing problems. The chance of death is: 1 in 23.

Even if a person does not die from illness, accident or violent death, his cells will at some point stop dividing, will break down and eventually die. This phenomenon is known as the “Hayflick Limit” (after Leonard Hayflick, who discovered the phenomenon). Although modern advances in genetics may prolong this process, research has shown that the current maximum lifespan for humans is about 125 years.

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According to Rosstat, 1,826,125 people died in Russia in 2017 (8% less than in 2016). Of these, 1,673,384 died due to various diseases, and 152,741 due to external factors.

Dementia is killing the world...

According to statistics from the World Health Organization, more than half of the world's deaths (54%) are caused by 10 leading causes. Let's list them in descending order.

In first place by a wide margin is heart disease, in second place is stroke. Together they account for up to 25% of deaths, and for the last 15 years these diseases have been the leaders of the terrible list. In third, fourth and fifth places are respiratory tract diseases (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lung cancer and cancer of the trachea and bronchi).

Diabetes is in sixth place, and more and more people die from it from year to year (1.6 million in 2015 versus less than 1 million in 2000). So far, dementia (senile dementia) is in seventh place, but in just 5 years the number of deaths from it has doubled! This is the consequence of the increase in human life expectancy. Next come lower respiratory tract infections (pneumonia, etc.). Diarrheal diseases are in ninth place, although this figure has halved over 5 years. And in last place in the top 10 causes of death is tuberculosis, the number of deaths from which is also decreasing.

...And Russia - drunkenness

In Russia, as in the world as a whole, life expectancy is steadily increasing. In 15 years, the average citizen of our country began to live 8 years longer. As the head believes Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation V-eronika Skvortsova, by 2024 we will live on average 76 years, and by -2030 - 80 or more.

Another thing is that the structure of causes of mortality in our country is somewhat different from the global one. Of course, in the Russian Federation, as in the rest of the world, heart and vascular diseases, brain diseases, and cancer are the leading diseases. Other causes are respiratory diseases, as well as manifestations of senility. However, the top ten most common causes include all alcohol-related illnesses, from poisoning with low-quality substitutes to drunken homicides.

According to Chief Geriatrician of the Russian Ministry of Health Olga Tkacheva, the increase in life expectancy in our country was affected by the increase in the well-being of the population and improvements in the field of health care and social assistance, as well as the promotion of a healthy lifestyle. It is no coincidence that the Ministry of Health proposes to allocate 2.8 billion rubles. from the federal budget to encourage citizens to join a healthy lifestyle. And if the efforts of the state bring the expected results, you see, someday we will really begin to die mainly from old age - around 100-120 years old...

Order number Cause Number of deaths per year The probability of such a death
1 Heart disease, including myocardial infarction
Neoplasms, including cancer

Cerebrovascular diseases associated with brain disorders, including cerebral infarction

External factor

Nervous system diseases

Old age

Diseases of the digestive system, including liver disease, ulcers

Respiratory diseases, including pneumonia, acute bronchitis, influenza

Illnesses caused by alcohol, including poisoning

Murder

Diabetes mellitus

Death from unknown causes

Head injury

Suicide

Transport accident

Diseases of the genitourinary system

Mental disorders

Hypertension

Food poisoning

Tuberculosis

Falling, even out of the blue

Accidental strangulation

Entry of a foreign body through natural openings

Any other accident

Accidental drowning

Drug-related death

Drug poisoning

Thermal and chemical burns

Sudden death

Death under a train

Complications during treatment and after surgery

Sudden infant death syndrome

Intestinal infections

Down syndrome (and other chromosomal abnormalities)

Viral encephalitis

Plane crash or space disaster

Hostilities

According to Rosstat